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Coronavirus doubling rate slows in Mira Bhayandar to more than week

The doubling rate of COVID-19 cases in Mira Bhayandar has dropped to more than seven days over the past two weeks, as compared to two days after the first case was found last month. There had been a 50 per cent decline in the growth rate of new cases.

The first Coronavirus positive was found on March 29 here. However, on March 31 it becomes four with a 300 per cent increase in two days. “Doubling rate of COVID19 cases was about two to three days, but according to data in the past two weeks, it has improved. The doubling rate of cases now stands at more than 7 days. This happened because of the strictly imposed lockdown in the twin city,” said a senior Health Department official.

The rate – the days it takes for the number of novel coronavirus cases to double – is even lower than the national and state averages. If we talk about Thane Division, then Mira-Bhayandar Municipal Corporation has much better doubling rate than other municipal corporations. The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation’s (BMC) doubling rate is worst with 2.8 days. Thane Municipal Corporation has 4 days doubling rate.

Till Thursday, BMC has 4205 positive Coronavirus cases with 167 registered deaths while Thane Municipal Corporation(TMC) has 214 COVID-19 patients with four deaths, so far.  Navi Mumbai’s NMMC stay on 97 with four deaths while Kalyan-Dombivali registered 124 Coronavirus positives with three deaths. Vasai-Virar Municipal Corporation has registered 109 cases with three deaths till Thursday. As compares to these municipal corporations, Mira-Bhayandar has 117 positive cases with two deaths registered while 15 recovered cases. According to the experts, this happened because of the strict implication of the lockdown by the Thane Rural Police and the wise decision of the Municipal Commissioner Chandrakant Dange.  

Doubling rate of Mira-Bhayandar

The first Coronavirus positive case was announced on March 29, after five days of the nation-wide lockdown. However, on March 31, three more were found. This means, a doubling rate of two days. On April 04, COVID-19 patients were 8 while the number increased to 15 on April 05. The doubling rate of almost one day. Although, it was 30 on April 10 while doubling on April 17 to 60 almost a week after. After that, the Mira-Bhayandar has touched the doubling rate after 8 days. This is a good sign that the twin city is improving its tally.

With 748 swab samples sent for testing, 492 comes negative and 136 still awaited.

The recovery rates had also improved. The ratio between recovered COVID-19 patients and deaths stands at 12:1, which is much higher than several other municipal corporations.

A total of 24 people have been cured. With three fresh cases reported in the last 24 hours, the total number of cases in Mira-Bhayandar has reached 120(cumulative). However, no death has been reported since April 09. There are 94 active cases in the twin city.

What’s doubling rate is?

Simply put, the doubling rate of an infectious disease or epidemic is referred to as the time taken for the total number of cases to double.  The rate depends on the Reproduction Number(R0) and the serial interval of a disease. R0 is a measure of the contagiousness of the disease and the numbers of people a single patient could infect in the time they are contagious. So, the R0 gives an idea of what would happen if an infected person would be present in a population of susceptible people. The R0 of COVID-19 is said to be somewhere between 1.5 to 3.5. Though this would vary depending on the prevention measures taken in an area and other factors like the susceptibility of the population.

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